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Tropical Depression Expected to Become Tropical Storm Today as Hurricane Hunters Investigate

By: Woodlands Online | Published 07/20/2026

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By: NOAA NEW NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

At 7:00 AM CDT, the center of Tropical Depression Two was located about 210 miles southeast of Mobile, Alabama.

The depression is moving northwest at 3 mph (6 km/h). Forecasters expect a slow northwestward motion through the next day, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest or west. The current forecast track brings the system near or along the northern Gulf Coast over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today.

Hazards Affecting Land

Wind

  • Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area beginning tonight and continuing into Tuesday.

Storm Surge
Storm surge combined with high tide could cause flooding in normally dry coastal areas. Expected peak water levels above ground include:

  • Indian Pass to Chassahowitzka, Florida: 1 to 3 feet
  • Mississippi/Alabama Border to Alabama/Florida Border: 1 to 3 feet
  • Mobile Bay: 1 to 3 feet

The highest water levels are expected along the immediate coastline. The extent of surge flooding will depend on the timing of the surge and local tides and may vary significantly over short distances.

Rainfall
The tropical depression is expected to bring:

  • 2 to 4 inches of rainfall, with isolated totals up to 6 inches
  • Rainfall is expected through Friday

The greatest impacts are expected along the Gulf Coast and nearby inland areas from western Florida to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana.

Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding, especially in urban and low-lying areas.

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